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Attachment 2. Unclassified Working Papers


                               Appendix III:
                            Unclassified Working
                                   Papers



Prefatory Note

Part I

Roundtable Topics, Panelists and Summaries of Panelists' Remarks

     Iran and Iraq: Michael Eisenstadt, Kenneth Katzman, Kenneth Timmerman
     and Seth Carus

     Russia/Ukraine: Bruce Blair, Stephen Blank, Daniel Gouré
     and Nadia Schadlow

     China/Japan/Korea: Gerrit Gong, Selig Harrison,
     Robert Manning and David Wright

     India/Pakistan: Daniel Gouré, Michael Krepon
     and David Tanks

     North Africa/Israel: Seth Carus and Dov Zakheim

     Technology Transfers: David C. Isby, John M. Myrah and Henry Sokolski

     Pathways for Transfer: Dennis M. Gormley, Aaron Karp and Richard T.
     Cupitt

     Supplier Nations: Robbin Laird, Tim McCarthy,
     Keith Payne, David Smith

Part II

Roundtable Papers

     Bruce Blair: "The Plight of the Russian Military
     and Nuclear Control"

     Stephen J. Blank: "Nuclear Strategy and Nuclear
     Proliferation in Russian Strategy"

     W. Seth Carus: "Ballistic Missiles in Iran and Iraq:
     1988-1998"

     W. Seth Carus: "Israeli Ballistic Missile Developments"

     Richard T. Cupitt: "Export Controls and Missile
     Technology Transfers"

     Michael Eisenstadt: "Missiles and Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMDs)
     in Iraq and Iran"

     Gerrit W. Gong: "Assessing the Ballistic Missile Threat:
     China-Japan-Korea-Taiwan Issues"

     Dennis M. Gormley : "Transfer Pathways for
     Cruise Missiles"

     Daniel Gouré: "The Evolution of Russian Nuclear Forces: Working to a
     Plan"

     Daniel Gouré : "WMD and Ballistic Missiles in
     South Asia"

     Selig S. Harrison: "Missile Capabilities in Northeast Asia: Japan,
     South Korea and North Korea"

     David C. Isby: "Barriers to Proliferation And Pathways to Transfer:
     Building Ballistic Missile Capabilities
     Under MTCR"

     Aaron Karp: "Technological Pathways to Ballistic
     Missiles in Iran"

     Kenneth Katzman: "Iran's Long Range Missile
     Capabilities"

     Kenneth Katzman: "Iraq's Long Range Missile
     Capabilities"

     Michael Krepon: "India, Pakistan, and the Ballis tic
     Missile Threat"

     Robbin Laird: "Rethinking the Role of Western States
     as Supplier Nations"

     Robert A. Manning: "Missile Proliferation Threats in
     Northeast Asia"

     John M. Myrah: "The Proliferation of Ballistic Missiles:
     What Should We Do to Stop It?"

     Keith Payne: "The Missile Technology Control Regime--European
     Involvement and Compliance Issues"

     Nadia Schadlow: "Patterns of Ukrainian Conduct"

     David J. Smith: "Friendly Countries and Missile
     Proliferation: Dealing With Different Perceptions"

     Henry Sokolski: "Space Technology Transfers and
     Missile Proliferation"

     David R. Tanks: "Ballistic Missiles in South Asia: Are
     ICBMs a Future Possibility?"

     Kenneth R. Timmerman: "Rogue States and Ballistic
     Missiles: Lessons and Prospects"

     David C. Wright: "An Analysis of the North Korean
     Missile Program"

Part III

Additional Papers

     Kurt Guthe and Keith Payne: "The Unique Value of
     Ballistic Missiles for Deterrence and Coercion: The Chinese Case"

     Keith Payne and Robert Rudney: "The Unique Value of Ballistic Missiles
     for Deterrence and Coercion"

     Gil Siegert: "The Chinese Space Program"

     Gil Siegert: "Potential Threats from Global Commercial
     Space Capabilities"

     System Planning Corporation: "Non-Proliferation Issues"

          1. France

          2. Great Britain

          3. Germany

          4. Japan

          5. South Korea