This government has constantly reiterated its
desire for world-wide nuclear disarmament and is well-placed to
take a lead towards this end.
The progress and effectiveness of non-proliferation
regimes since the last major NPT Review Conference in 1995 has
not been good. India and Pakistan, not signatories to the NPT,
have both tested nuclear devices.
China has modernised her nuclear arsenals and
Russia has tested new TOPOL missiles. The Guardian (14
January 2000) reports that Acting President Vladimir Putin has
decreed a new national security strategy. It's more confrontational
attitude to the West, saying that nuclear weapons can now be used
in response to conventional attack (a policy already adopted by
NATO), is sparked partly by NATO's eastwards expansion and the
perceived US aim to use its military might to dominate the world.
India and Pakistan are unlikely to sign the
NPT, and non-nuclear NPT signatories are increasingly unlikely
to abide by it, until they see some movement from the nuclear
states to honour their agreements under Article 6 to "pursue
negotiations in good faith on effective measures relating to cessation
of the nuclear arms race at an early date and to nuclear disarmament".
The Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty has suffered
a severe blow by the refusal of the US last October to ratify
it. It was good to see UK pressure on the US to ratify and it
is to be hoped that this will be maintained.
The UK could unblock progress towards a Fissile
Material Cut-off Treaty by agreeing to allow current stocks of
plutonium to be covered by the treaty. To do otherwise is to call
into question the seriousness of a desire for nuclear disarmament.
US moves towards a Ballistic Missile Defence
System (BMD), money for which is likely to be confirmed in June,
contravene the ABM Treaty and threaten a new arms race. The UK
is encouraging the US by allowing it to expand its base at Menwith
Hill in Yorkshire to provide essential communications for the
BMD.
The announcement in the Labour Party's Strategic
Defence Review (1997) that the expertise of Aldermaston would
be used partly to develop effective verification and monitoring
regimes for treaties is to be welcomed and encouraged.
The best way to encourage non-signatory states
is by complying with both the spirit and the letter of treaties
to which the UK is signatory. The choice is not between proliferation
and non-proliferation but between proliferation and disarmament.