I am writing with particular reference to weapons
of mass destruction and the UK role with regard to non-proliferation.
The UK has frequently expressed commitment to
world-wide nuclear disarmament and is well placed to take a lead.
Regrettably steps towards non-proliferation
seem to be stalled at present. Meantime India and Pakistan are
now nuclear weapons states and Iraq, Iran and North Korea appear
to be working towards that goal.
Progress under the Non Proliferation Treaty
seems unlikely until nuclear states honour their agreements under
Article 6 to "pursue negotiations in good faith on effective
measures relating to cessation of the nuclear arms race at an
early date and to nuclear disarmament".
The Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty has suffered
a severe set-back by the refusal of the US to ratify it. It is
to be hoped that UK pressure on the US to ratify it will continue.
We appear to be moving towards revival of the
Cold War as the US is perceived as pursuing global military domination.
In apparent retaliation, Russia is stepping up its nuclear arsenal
and adopting a more confrontational attitude. I note also that
Russia now says that nuclear weapons may be used in response to
conventional attack in line with NATO's previously adopted position.
Russia is no doubt irritated by the US Ballistic
Missile Defence programme which contravenes the Anti-Ballistic
Missile Treaty. The UK role in this is puzzling considering that
its base at Menwith Hill in Yorkshire will play an essential role
for BMD, despite the face that BMD's so-called defensive shield
would protect only the US.
The 1997 announcement in the Labour Party's
Strategic Defence Review that the expertise of Aldermaston would
be used partly to develop effective monitoring and verification
regimes for treaties is to be welcomed.
The proposed Fissile Material Cut-Off Treaty
would be a great step forward, particularly if the UK were to
allow current stocks of plutonium to be included in its remit.
In conclusion I must stress that the best way
to encourage non signatory states is for the signatories to comply
with the terms of the treaties referred to here. The UK can make
a difference at a most crucial, uncertain and dangerous period.