The UK Government has repeatedly stated its
commitment to nuclear disarmament and to its obligations under
Article VI of the Non-Proliferation Treaty "to pursue negotiations
in good faith on effective measures relating to the cessation
of the nuclear arms race at an early date and to nuclear disarmament".
The end of the Cold War opened up a window of
opportunity for nuclear disarmament. The opportunity has not been
taken up. In consequence, since the last NPT Review Conference
in 1995 the prospects for global nuclear disarmament have deteriorated.
India and Pakistan have tested nuclear weapons.
It is likely that Iraq, Iran and North Korea want to acquire nuclear
weapons.
Russia has been antagonised by the expansion
of NATO into Eastern Europe, by the war against Serbia in Kosovo,
and by the US attempt to introduce Ballistic Missile Defence,
overthrowing the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty, and the US threat
to introduce weapons in space, challenging the Outer Space Treaty.
Russia has introduced a new generation of high precision inter-continental
ballistic missiles. Acting President Putin is now saying that
nuclear weapons can be used in response to conventional attack,
which is already NATO's policy.
The Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty has been severely
damaged by the refusal of the US Congress to ratify it. It is
to be hoped the UK will maintain pressure on the US to ratify
it.
The UK is encouraging US moves towards a Ballistic
Missile Defence system by allowing it to expand its base at Menwith
Hill in Yorkshire to provide communications for BMD. This expansion
should be stopped. Ballistic Missile defence is a threat to the
Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty.
India and Pakistan are unlikely to sign the
Non-Proliferation Treaty and non-nuclear states are unlikely to
abide by it unless they see some progress by the nuclear states
towards honouring their obligations under Article VI.
A Model Nuclear Weapons Convention has been
drafted by an international consortium of lawyers, scientists
and disarmament specialists. It was formally submitted to the
UN as a discussion paper in 1997 and was re-issued in the spring
of 1999 as a book: "Security and SurvivalThe Case
for a Nuclear Weapons Convention".
The Canberra Commission concluded that there
are no real technological barriers to concluding an agreement
to prohibit and eliminate nuclear weapons. The determining factor
is political will. The Model Nuclear Weapons Convention shows
that an agreement on the elimination of nuclear weapons is possible
to achieve, to implement, to verify and to enforce. John Spellar,
Minister of State for the Armed Forces at the Ministry of Defence,
has said the Model Convention "makes a useful contribution
to the international debate on how to make progress towards the
global elimination of nuclear weapons". (Letter to Roger
Casales, MP, 7 September 1999.)
A Gallup Poll in September 1997 showed that
87 per cent of British people believe that Britain should help
to negotiate a global treaty to rid the world of nuclear weapons.
I urge the UK Government at the NPT Review Conference
in April to start negotiations for a Nuclear Weapons Convention.
If nuclear weapons are not eliminated it is
inevitable that they will spread to more countries and that some
day they will again be used either by accident, miscalculation
or on purpose.