Index

Memorandum submitted by Professor Dando and Professor Pearson

Table 1

EVALUATION OF BTWC PROTOCOL REGIME

BTWC Protocol Regime Measure Increased TransparencyEnhanced Confidence in Compliance ApplicabilityAcceptability ReliabilitySustainability Cost-effectivenessPotential for abuse Deterrence of non-compliancePromotion of Protocol universality
Mandatory declarationsYes YesTo facilities to be declared High (No CPI required)Poor to Good (CBM experience) ModerateHigh (better than CWC as fewer required) ModerateModerateLow to Moderate
Declaration follow-
up procedures
                        
-randomly-selected visitsIncreased Increasedto facilities to be declared HighHigh (improves quality of declarations) GoodHigh (infrequent visits) LowGoodModerate (through technical assistance extensions)
-declaration clarification proceduresIncreased IncreasedBroader (to facilities that should be declared) HighHigh (improves quality of declarations) GoodHigh (Reduces over time) LowGoodModerate (ensures equal obligations)
-voluntary visitsPossible PossibleSomeYes LowHighModerate ModerateLowModerate (for assistance)
Measures to ensure submission of declarations IncreasedIncreasedYes YesDepends on political will GoodHighLow GoodModerate (ensures equal obligations)
InvestigationsYes-in area inspected YesVery broadYes Moderate-
depends on initiation
GoodGoodLow* HighLow
Article VII MeasuresModerate (more activities) Moderate (more activities)Potentially broad YesLowHigh ModerateLowModerate High (concrete measures)

  *  Potential for abuse is assessed as low because the initiation of an investigation will be highly political and the provisions for dealing with abuse are severe.