DATE=4/27/98 TYPE=CORRESPONDENT REPORT NUMBER=2-230313 TITLE=BIOLOGICAL WEAPONS (L ONLY) BYLINE=GIL BUTLER DATELINE=WASHINGTON CONTENT= VOICED AT: INTRO: UNITED NATIONS INSPECTION OF IRAQ'S SUSPECTED MASS DESTRUCTION WEAPONS HAS BROUGHT MUCH PUBLIC ATTENTION TO THE THREAT POSED BY SUCH WEAPONS. ONE OF THE LEAST UNDERSTOOD OF THE THREATS IS FROM BIOLOGICAL WARFARE AGENTS. THE CLINTON ADMINISTRATION HAS SET THE GOAL OF A REACHING MORE EFFECTIVE INTERNATIONAL AGREEMENT ON SUCH WEAPONS BY THE END OF THE YEAR. TODAY (MONDAY) SCIENTISTS AND ANALYSTS DISCUSSED THE ISSUE AT A SEMINAR IN WASHINGTON. CORRESPONDENT GIL BUTLER HAS A REPORT. TEXT: THE NEW YORK TIMES REPORTED SUNDAY THAT A RECENT MOCK TERRORIST ATTACK WAS USED AS AN EXERCISE TO TEST THE PREPAREDNESS OF AMERICA'S ABILITY TO HANDLE SUCH AN EMERGENCY. THE FICTITIOUS BIOLOGICAL WEAPON USED IN THE EXERCISE WAS REPORTED TO BE A COMBINATION OF SMALL POX AND ANOTHER DEADLY VIRUS. WHILE THE SCIENTISTS AND PLANNERS AT THE BIOLOGICAL WEAPONS SEMINAR HERE DID NOT DIRECTLY CONFIRM THE REPORT, BROOKINGS INSTITUTION SCHOLAR JOHN STEINBRUNER INDICATED SUCH NEW DEADLY ORGANISMS MIGHT BE POSSIBLE. /// STEINBRUNER ACT /// THE UNDERLYING SCIENCE IS EVOLVING, AND CONCEPTUALLY IT IS POSSIBLE TO IMAGINE HOW YOU MIGHT CREATE A REAL MASS DESTRUCTION AGENT. I MEAN A REAL ONE WHERE YOU ARE INVOLVING VERY, VERY LARGE CASUALTIES. NOW NEITHER NATURE NOR ANY KNOWN PROGRAM HAS DONE SUCH A THING YET, BUT CONCEPTUALLY IT IS REASONABLY CLEAR HOW, IN PRINCIPLE, IT MIGHT BE DONE. THEREFORE THE BUSINESS OF PREVENTION HAS A HIGHER LOAD ON IT THAN IT DID EVEN FIVE YEARS AGO. /// END ACT /// THE THREAT OF TERRORISTS USING BIOLOGICAL WEAPONS WAS DISCUSSED AT THE SEMINAR. THE ONLY KNOWN TERRORIST USE OF GERMS IN THE UNITED STATES WAS A MASS, NON-FATAL FOOD POISONING BLAMED ON AN OREGON CULT. MICROBIOLOGIST RONALD ATLAS SAYS USING BIOLOGICAL WEAPONS DOES NOT BRING IMMEDIATE RESULTS -- INFECTED PEOPLE MIGHT NOT BECOME SICK FOR WEEKS. /// ATLAS ACT /// FOR A TERRORIST WHO WANTS TO MAKE A STATEMENT, THAT MAY NOT BE A GREAT WAY TO DO THINGS, SO WE ARE MORE LIKELY TO SEE THE HOAXES WHERE SOMEONE THROWS STRAWBERRIES DOWN AND YELLS, 'ANTHRAX' (A PATHOGEN), AND RUNS AWAY AND SPREADS TERROR THROUGH THE SURROUNDING POPULATION. /// END ACT /// /// OPT /// BIOLOGICAL WEAPONS EXPERT COLONEL DAVID FRANZ SAYS TERRORISTS PROBABLY WOULD REQUIRE HELP FROM A GOVERNMENT TO USE GERMS AS A MASS KILLER. /// FRANZ ACT /// THE TRUE MASS CASUALTY ATTACK WITH POTENTIAL TO KILL OR INJURE THOUSANDS OR EVEN HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS OF PEOPLE WILL PROBABLY REQUIRE STATE SPONSORSHIP, AND, FORTUNATELY IS THE LEAST LIKELY TO OCCUR /// END ACT ///END OPT /// THE SCIENTISTS AND ANALYSTS AGREED THAT EFFORTS AT PREVENTING BIOLOGICAL WEAPONS USE SHOULD BE INCREASED AND A STRONGER INTERNATIONAL TREATY AGAINST DEVELOPING GERM WARFARE AGENTS IS NEEDED. BUT THEY ALSO AGREED THAT BIOLOGICAL WEAPONS PROGRAMS ARE THE HARDEST TO DETECT -- THE FACILITIES NEEDED TO PRODUCE THEM ARE SMALL, AND MOST BIOLOGICAL MATERIALS ALSO HAVE LEGITIMATE USES. (SIGNED) NEB/MGB/MMK 27-Apr-98 2:47 PM EDT (1847 UTC) NNNN Source: Voice of America .