DATE= 11/21/97 TYPE=BACKGROUND REPORT NUMBER=5-38161 TITLE=RUSSIA / TERRORISM BYLINE=PETER HEINLEIN DATELINE=MOSCOW CONTENT= VOICED AT: INTRO: SUITCASE BOMBS AND STOLEN PLUTONIUM IN THE HANDS OF A TERRORIST GROUP. IT MAKES A GOOD MOVIE PLOT, BUT IS IT A REAL THREAT? TERRORISM EXPERTS SAY YES, BUT NOT AS MUCH AS HOLLYWOOD MIGHT HAVE US THINK. V-O-A'S PETER HEINLEIN IN MOSCOW REPORTS COUNTER-TERRORISM WAS HIGH ON THE AGENDA THIS WEEK WHEN THE HEAD OF THE U-S FEDERAL BUREAU OF INVESTIGATION PAID A VISIT TO THE RUSSIAN CAPITAL. TEXT: IT IS A FRIGHTENING THOUGHT -- A CRIMINAL GANG STEALS OR MANUFACTURES A PORTABLE NUCLEAR BOMB AND HOLDS THE WORLD HOSTAGE. F-B-I DIRECTOR LOUIS FREEH ADMITS SUCH SCENARIOS ARE CONSTANTLY ON THE MINDS OF COUNTER-TERRORISM EXPERTS TRACKING DEVELOPMENTS IN THE FORMER SOVIET UNION. BUT HE SAYS THERE IS VERY LITTLE HARD EVIDENCE THAT A REAL-LIFE NUCLEAR MAFIA EXISTS. /// FREEH ACT /// THERE'S NO EVIDENCE WE'VE SEEN WHICH ESTABLISHES THEFT OR CRIMINAL DIVERSION FOR CRIMINAL OR TERRORIST PURPOSES AND NO LINK BETWEEN ANY ORGANIZED CRIME GROUP. BUT AGAIN, IT'S SOMETHING WE'RE VERY ALERT TO AND OPEN MINDED ABOUT, AND WE CAN'T AFFORD TO HAVE ONE OF THESE CASES, SO WE TREAT THEM WITH UTMOST SERIOUSNESS. /// END ACT /// SINCE THE SOVIET UNION COLLAPSED, WESTERN GOVERNMENTS HAVE EXPRESSED CONCERN THAT A FORMER SOVIET NUCLEAR SCIENTIST MIGHT SELL HIS KNOW-HOW TO A ROGUE STATE OR A CRIMINAL GROUP. MORE RECENTLY, EXPERTS HAVE DISCUSSED THE POSSIBLE THEFT OF PORTABLE NUCLEAR DEVICES KNOWN AS "SUITCASE BOMBS". MR. FREEH SAYS THE F-B-I IS COOPERATING WITH RUSSIA'S DOMESTIC INTELLIGENCE AGENCY, THE F-S-B, TO PREVENT THESE SO-CALLED "LOOSE NUKES" FROM FALLING INTO THE HANDS OF TERRORISTS. /// 2ND FREEH ACT /// WE'VE WORKED CLOSELY WITH OUR COUNTERPARTS HERE ON SEVERAL CASES THEY BROUGHT TO OUR ATTENTION WHERE THE CONCERNS HAD TO DO EXACTLY WITH THE THEFT AND PROLIFERATION OF NUCLEAR MATERIALS. NONE OF THOSE CASES RESULTED IN PROVING ANY LINK BETWEEN PARTICULAR THEFTS OR SALES OF THOSE MATERIALS. WE'VE ALSO NOT SEEN ANY CONNECTION BETWEEN ORGANIZED CRIME AND THAT ACTIVITY. /// END ACT /// MR. FREEH SAID RUSSIAN AUTHORITIES ASSURED HIM SUFFICIENT CONTROLS ARE IN PLACE TO PROTECT NUCLEAR MATERIALS. A COUNTERINTELLIGENCE EXPERT WITH THE RUSSIAN F-S-B, SERGEI BOGDANOV, DESCRIBES THE TALK ABOUT "LOOSE NUKES" AS PROPAGANDA. HE SAYS OF 150 CASES INVOLVING THE ATTEMPTED SALE OF NUCLEAR MATERIAL IN RUSSIA, NONE INVOLVED SCIENTISTS OR WEAPONS-GRADE MATERIALS. /// BOGDANOV ACT - IN RUSSIAN - FADE UNDER /// MR. BOGDANOV SAID ALL THE CASES THEY INVESTIGATED INVOLVED MATERIALS WHICH COULD NOT HAVE BEEN USED IN MAKING NUCLEAR WEAPONS. MOST EXPERTS AGREE RUSSIA REMAINS VULNERABLE TO THEFT AND BLACK MARKET TRANSACTIONS OF WEAPONS-GRADE MATERIALS. BUT, AS ONE WESTERN ANALYST SAID, WHILE THE PROBABILITY OF NUCLEAR TERRORISM IS LOW, THE POTENTIAL COST IS GRAVE ENOUGH TO DESERVE CONSTANT ATTENTION. (SIGNED) NEB/PFH/JWH/EH 21-Nov-97 12:01 PM EST (1701 UTC) NNNN Source: Voice of America .