[Congressional Record: December 4, 2007 (Senate)]
[Page S14729-S14730]
IRAN
Mr. HAGEL. Mr. President, yesterday the Director of National
Intelligence, Admiral Mike McConnell, released the National
Intelligence Estimate on Iran's nuclear weapons program. This NIE,
which represents the best collective judgment of all 16 U.S.
intelligence agencies, told us:
Our intelligence community has concluded with high
confidence that Iran halted its nuclear weapons program in
2003.
This is a major reversal of the intelligence community's previous
intelligence assessment in 2005 that Iran was determined to develop
nuclear weapons. The NIE states that the nuclear weapons program was
halted primarily in response to international pressure, which suggests
that Iran may be more vulnerable to influence.
Perhaps most significant is the DNI's conclusion that some
combination of threats of intensified scrutiny and pressures, along
with opportunities for Iran to achieve its security, prestige, and
goals might prompt Tehran to extend the current halt to its nuclear
weapons program.
I commend Admiral McConnell and his colleagues for their decision to
release unclassified conclusions (pdf) based on this current intelligence. I
do not believe we can overstate the importance of this new information.
The effects of this NIE will be felt here, at the United Nations,
throughout Europe, across the entire Middle East, the world, and in
Iran.
The NIE closely parallels many of the conclusions of the Internal
Atomic Energy Agency, the IAEA, the international organization, with
the most direct on-the-ground access to Iran's nuclear facilities. Once
again, the facts appear to be bearing out the conclusions of the IAEA.
This NIE, as well as the IAEA's analysis, should help inform and shape
U.S. strategy on Iran.
President Bush has a responsibility to carefully consider the policy
implications concerning Iran with this new information, and I know he
will. He said in his news conference this morning that this new
information which he has confidence in would be factored into our
policy regarding Iran.
The United States must pursue a clear and strategic policy toward
Iran
[[Page S14730]]
based on this new intelligence and fact-based assessment to avoid the
disastrous mistakes of Iraq. Yesterday's NIE does not invalidate the
effectiveness of previous efforts to use an international consensus of
pressure on Iran. We must be careful not to run from one end of the
pendulum all the way to the other.
As President Bush noted again this morning, the United States must
continue to work with our friends and our allies to sustain an
international consensus on Iran. I believe the President is correct:
alliances, common purpose, common interests, focus, discipline.
Iran's objectionable words and actions are real, and they must
continue to be addressed. That means a very clear-eyed and realistic
sense of Iran and its motives. As I said in my November 8 CSIS speech
regarding U.S.-Iran policy, the United States must employ a
comprehensive strategy regarding Iran: Iraq, the Israeli-Palestinian
issue, the Middle East, a regional comprehensive strategy.
Yesterday's NIE reinforces the need for directed, unconditional, and
comprehensive engagement with Iran. The United States and the
international community must use all--all--elements of our foreign
policy arsenal in offering direct, unconditional, and comprehensive
talks with Iran. The United States should be clear that all issues, our
issues and Iran's issues, are on the table, including offering Iran a
credible way back from the fringes of the international community,
security guarantees, and other incentives.
We urgently need to adopt a comprehensive strategy on Iran that is
focused on direct engagement and diplomacy backed, as diplomacy must
always be backed, by the leverage of international pressure, isolation,
containment, and military options.
The United States must employ wise statecraft to redirect deepening
tensions with Iran toward a higher ground of resolution. That is what
Annapolis was about last week. America is the great power here. Iran is
not the great power. We must be the more mature country in testing the
proposition that the United States and Iran can overcome decades of
mutual mistrust, suspicion, and hostility.
That is diplomacy. Diplomacy is not talking to your friends;
diplomacy is not giving another country bonus points for us talking to
them. There is a reason for diplomacy. We should not squander this
opportunity as we did in the spring of 2003 when we had an opportunity
for an opening to explore talks with Iran.
This initiative, by the way, in 2003, came from Iran. We are
witnessing a confluence of events in the Middle East and around the
world that presents the United States with new opportunities. There are
hopeful and positive recent developments: Progress on North Korea's
nuclear weapons program; the recent regional meeting in Istanbul on
Iraq; the momentum generated by last week's Annapolis Middle East
meeting where all Arab countries, including Syria, sat at the same
table with Israel; and yesterday's NIE assessment.
Now is the time for America to act and to lead, and to lead boldly,
with confidence, with our allies, focusing on a common purpose.
One dimensional optics, policies, and blunt black-or-white rhetoric,
such as ``you are either with us or you are against us'' will not work,
haven't worked, and will fall short of what is expected from American
leadership in the eyes of the world.
The world faces challenges and opportunities today that carry with it
implications well beyond this moment in time. American leadership is
once again being called on at yet another transformational time in
history to help set a new course, a new framework for a rudderless
world drifting in a sea of combustible dangers.
In engaging Iran, the Middle East, and the world, we must be wide in
our scope, clear in our purpose, measured in our words, and strong in
our actions. Yesterday's NIE should not be overstated, but it also must
not be undervalued in shaping future policy with Iran and in the Middle
East.
Make no mistake, the NIE sets in motion a series of ripple effects
that will have serious consequences. This should be welcome news for
the United States and the world.
Mr. President, I thank you, yield the floor, and suggest the absence
of a quorum.
The PRESIDING OFFICER (Mr. Whitehouse). The clerk will call the roll
of the Senate.
The legislative clerk proceeded to call the roll.
Mr. BYRD. Mr. President, I ask unanimous consent that the order for
the quorum call be rescinded.
The PRESIDING OFFICER. Without objection, it is so ordered.
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