Congressional Record: June 5, 2003 (Senate)
Page S7468-S7471




   THE NATIONAL SECURITY ASPECTS OF THE GLOBAL MIGRATION OF THE U.S.
                         SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRY

  Mr. LIEBERMAN. Mr. President, I rise today to express my concern
about the loss to the U.S. economy of most of our high-end
semiconductor chip manufacturing sector, the threat of the subsequent
loss of the semiconductor research and design sectors, and the
resulting serious national security implications.
  The composition of the global semiconductor industry has changed
dramatically in recent years. East Asian countries are leveraging these
changing market forces through their national trade and industrial
policies to drive a migration of semiconductor manufacturing to that
region, particularly China, through a large array of direct and
indirect subsidies to their domestic semiconductor industry. If this
accelerating shift in manufacturing overseas continues, the U.S. will
lose the ability over time to reliably obtain high-end semiconductor
integrated circuits from trusted sources, at a time when these advanced
processing components are becoming a crucial defense technology
advantage to the U.S. Experts in the military and intelligence sectors
have made clear that relying on semiconductor integrated circuits
fabricated outside the U.S., e.g. in China, Taiwan and Singapore, is
not an acceptable national security option. The economic impact in the
U.S. of the loss of manufacturing, research and design has equally
serious implications.
  I would like to direct my colleagues' attention to a White Paper,
that I am asking to be included in the Congressional Record, which
outlines the fact that this off-shore migration of high-end
semiconductor chip manufacturing is a result of concerted foreign
government action, through an effective combination of government trade
and industrial policies which have taken advantage of opportunities
resulting from market forces and changes in the semiconductor industry.
This White Paper lists a number of possible actions the defense and
intelligence communities should consider to prevent this serious loss
of U.S. semiconductor manufacturing and design capability. I have also
requested that the Department of Defense, the National Security Agency,
and the National Reconnaissance Office submit reports and plans of
action to respond to this impending national security threat. I have
asked that these reports provide an analysis of the semiconductor
manufacturing issues that relate to defense and national security, as
well as an analysis of the potential solutions that are discussed in
the White Paper. I hope these reports will detail the steps that will
be taken to counteract this loss of critical components for U.S.
defense needs, as well as a timetable for the implementation of such
steps. I note that the Armed Services Committee report on the bill we
passed yesterday requests similar information.
  I hope we can act promptly to avoid a potential national security
crisis in terms of reliable access to cutting-edge technology necessary
to the critical defense needs of our country. The loss goes beyond
economics and security. What is at stake here is our ability to be
preeminent in the world of ideas on which the semiconductor industry is
based. A prompt, concerted effort by the defense and intelligence
community in cooperation with industry can reverse this trend of off-
shore migration of manufacturing, research and design that is now under
way and that will become essentially irreversible if no action is taken
in the next few months.
  I ask consent that my "White Paper on National Security Aspects of
the Global Migration of the U.S. Semiconductor Industry" be printed in
the Record.
  There being no objection, the material was ordered to be printed in
the Record, as follows:

 White Paper: National Security Aspects of the Global Migration of the
                      U.S. Semiconductor Industry

       The U.S. is facing an imminent threat to national security
     as a result of foreign government actions that have
     capitalized on the changing composition of the semiconductor
     industry. Our concern is the loss to the U.S. economy of the
     high-end semiconductor manufacturing sector, the potential
     subsequent loss of the semiconductor research and design
     sectors, and the grave national security implications that
     this would entail. East Asian countries are leveraging market
     forces through their national trade and industrial policies
     to drive a migration of semiconductor manufacturing to that
     region, particularly China. If this accelerating shift in
     manufacturing overseas continues, the U.S. will lose the
     ability to reliably obtain high-end semiconductor integrated
     circuits from trusted sources. This will pose serious
     national security concerns to our defense and intelligence
     communities. Historically, shifts in manufacturing result
     over time in the migration of research and design
     capabilities. This is especially true of leading-edge
     industries such as advanced semiconductor manufacturing,
     which requires a tight linkage and geographic proximity for
     research, development, engineering and manufacturing
     activities. The economic impact in the U.S. of the loss of
     manufacturing, research and design has equally serious
     implications.
       The Pentagon's Advisory Group on Electron Devices (AGED)
     has warned that the Department of Defense (DoD) faces
     shrinking advantages across all technology areas due to the
     rapid decline of the U.S. semiconductor industry, and that
     the off-shore movement of intellectual capital and industrial
     capability, particularly in microelectronics, has impacted
     the ability of the U.S. to research and produce the best
     technologies and products for the nation and the war-fighter.
     This global migration has also been discussed in a recently
     released National Research Council/National Academy of
     Sciences report on the U.S. semiconductor industry, which
     details the significant growth in foreign programs that
     support national and regional semiconductor industries. This
     support is fueling the structural changes in the global
     industry, and encouraging a shift of U.S. industry abroad.


                critical national security applications

       Studies have shown that numerous advanced defense
     applications now under consideration will require high-end
     components with performance levels beyond that which is
     currently available. These cutting-edge devices will be
     required for critical defense capabilities in areas such as
     synthetic aperture radar, electronic warfare, and image
     compression and processing. Defense needs in the near future
     will also be focused on very high performance for missile
     guidance ("fire and forget"), signal processing, and
     radiation-hardened chips to withstand the extreme
     environments of space-based communications and tactical
     environments. There are profound needs for much more advanced
     onboard processing capabilities for unmanned aerial vehicles
     undertaking both reconnaissance and attack missions, for
     cruise missiles and ballistic missile defense, and for

[[Page S7469]]

     the infrastructure that connects these systems. As the
     military transforms to a "network-centric" force in the
     future, the DoD's Global Information Grid will demand
     extremely high-performance computation to overcome the
     technical barriers to a seamless communication network
     between terrestrial 24 and 48 color optical fiber and
     satellite platforms transmitting in 100+Mbps wireless. Such
     performance will also be necessary for "last-mile"
     extremely high-speed connectivity to platforms and to the
     soldier in the field, as well as for the high-speed
     encryption requirements for a secure communication system.
     Intelligence agencies will increasingly need the most
     advanced chips for very high-speed signal processing and data
     analysis, for real-time data evaluation, for sensor input and
     analysis, and for encryption and decryption.
       As studies for DARPA have indicated, the next several
     generations of integrated circuits, which emerge at roughly
     eighteen-month intervals as predicted by Moore's Law, offer
     the potential for exponential gains in defense war-fighting
     capability. It is erroneous to believe that future U.S. war-
     fighting capability will be derived from chips one or two
     generations behind current state-of-the-art technology. Many
     of the integrated circuits and processing platforms that are
     coming in to use, and which are at the heart of DoD defense
     strategies, are clearly at the cutting edge in their
     capabilities.
       With the dramatic new capabilities enabled by rapidly
     evolving chip technologies, DoD and the intelligence agencies
     will need to be first adopters of the most advanced
     integrated circuits, and will be increasingly dependent on
     such chips for a defense and intelligence edge. If the
     ongoing migration of the chip manufacturing sector continues
     to East Asia, DoD and our intelligence services will lose
     both first access and assured access to secure advanced chip-
     making capability, at the same time that these components are
     becoming a crucial defense technology advantage. Informed
     elements of the intelligence community therefore have made
     clear that relying on integrated circuits fabricated outside
     the U.S. (e.g. in China, Taiwan and Singapore) is not an
     acceptable national security option.


     economic importance and changes in the semiconductor industry

       The influence of the semiconductor industry to the U.S.
     economy in the last decade is difficult to overstate. The
     U.S. semiconductor sector currently employs 240,000 people in
     high-wage manufacturing jobs, and had sales totaling $102
     billion in the global market in 2000 (50 percent of total
     worldwide sales). In 1999, this sector was the largest value-
     added industry in manufacturing in the U.S.--larger than the
     iron, steel and motor vehicle industries combined. The
     productivity growth in the U.S. in the 1990s was due in
     significant part to the computer production and advances in
     information technology that depended on the semiconductor
     industry. The economic implications of the potential
     migration of high-end semiconductor chip research, design and
     manufacturing to off-shore facilities has the potential to
     cause (and, it could be argued, is already causing) long-term
     damage to the economic growth of this country, with
     corresponding national security ramifications.
       A fundamental change in the semiconductor industry has
     been, in very simplified form, that the price to performance
     curve has reduced revenue in the industry dramatically over
     the last decade. During the early 1960's, and continuing
     until about 1994, the compound annual growth rate in revenue
     of the industry was 16 percent. From 1994 to the present, the
     growth rate has been approximately 8 percent. This situation
     is combined with the very large costs associated with the
     development of new 300 mm fabrication facilities ("fabs"),
     as well as the increasing complexity and cost of research and
     design as the industry must develop methods other than the
     traditional scaling methods (making all aspects of the chips
     smaller and smaller) in order to increase performance. These
     factors, and the current recession, are driving the industry
     to consolidations. As those consolidations take place, new
     business models, such as fabless companies and consortia,
     come into play.


   a process driven by government policy in reaction to market forces

       The principal reason that China is becoming a center of
     semiconductor manufacturing is the effective combination of
     government trade and industrial policies which have taken
     advantage of opportunities resulting from market forces and
     changes in the semiconductor industry. In a sector
     characterized by rapidly increasing capital costs and the
     need to have access to large, rapidly growing markets, such
     as China's, Chinese government policies and subsidies can
     decisively change the terms of international competition. The
     impact of these incentives is accentuated as a result of the
     multi-year recession, which has sharply reduced revenue and
     increased the competition for markets to absorb the
     industry's characteristic high fixed costs. Government
     policies in Taiwan were already drawing new manufacturing
     capability, as well as tool and equipment makers, to its
     science and technology park complex. However, in the last two
     years, Chinese policy has resulted in a sharp upsurge in
     construction of fabrication facilities in that country, with
     plans for a great many more.
       The U.S. high-tech industry has been in a recession the
     last two years, with sharply reduced sales and severe losses.
     The number of state-of-the-art U.S. chip manufacturing
     facilities is expected to sharply decrease in the next 3-5
     years to as few as 1-2 firms that now have the revenue base
     to own a 300 mm wafer production fab, and likely less than a
     handful of firms. Although the U.S. currently leads the world
     semiconductor industry with a 50 percent world market share,
     the Semiconductor Industry Association estimates that the
     U.S. share of 300 mm wafer production capacity will be only
     approximately 20 percent in 2005, while Asian share will
     reach 65 percent (only 10 percent of this from Japan). The
     remaining state-of-the-art U.S. chip-making firms face great
     difficulty in attaining the huge amounts of capital required
     to construct next-generation fabs. This situation stands in
     contrast to that in China. To ensure that they develop the
     ability to build the next-generation fabrication facilities,
     the Chinese central government, in cooperation with regional
     and local authorities, has undertaken a large array of direct
     and indirect subsidies to support their domestic
     semiconductor industry. They have also developed a number of
     partnerships with U.S. and European companies that are cost-
     advantageous to the companies in the short-term. The Chinese
     government is successfully using tax subsidies (see below) to
     attract foreign capital from semiconductor firms seeking
     access to what is expected to be one of the world's largest
     markets. This strategy, which is similar to that employed by
     the European Union in early 1990s, is a means of inducing
     substantial inflows of direct investment by private firms.
     Indeed, much of the funding is Taiwanese, driven by the tax
     incentives and their need for market access, especially for
     commodity products such as DRAMs. The strategy does not
     rely on cheaper labor, as that is a small element in
     semiconductor production.
       The Chinese are, however, able to increasingly draw on
     substantially larger pools of technically trained labor as
     compared to the U.S., from the large cohorts of domestic
     engineering graduates. Importantly, the output of Chinese
     universities is supplemented by large numbers of engineers
     trained at U.S. universities and mid-career professionals who
     are offered substantial incentives to return to work in
     China. These incentives for scientists and engineers, which
     include substantial tax benefits, world-class living
     facilities, extensive stock options taxed at par value, and
     other amenities, are proving effective in attracting
     expatriate labor. They also represent an important new
     dimension in an accelerating global competition for highly
     skilled IT labor.
       The immediate and most powerful incentives for a highly
     leveraged industry are the direct and indirect subsidies,
     including infrastructure needed for state-of-the-art fabs,
     offered by the government. For example, the Chinese central
     government has undertaken indirect subsidies in the form of a
     substantial rebate on the value-added tax (VAT) charged on
     Chinese-made chips. While many believe this is an illegal
     subsidy under GATT trade rules, the impact of the subsidy on
     the growth of the industry may well be irreversible before--
     and if--any trade action is taken. There are a variety of
     other documented measures adopted by the Chinese government.
     The development of special government funded industrial
     parks, the low costs of building construction in China as
     compared to the U.S., and their apparent disinterest in the
     expensive pollution controls required of fabrication
     facilities in the U.S. all represent further hidden
     subsidies. The aggregate effect of these individual
     "subsidies" may be only a few tens of percentage points of
     decrease (literally, only 20-30 percent in the manufacturing
     costs of the chips, but in such a cost-driven industry, this
     difference appears to play an important role in driving the
     entire offshore migration process for these critical
     components. Essentially, these actions reflect a strategic
     decision and represent a concerted effort by the Chinese
     government to capture the benefits of this enabling, high-
     tech industry, and thereby threatening to be a monopoly
     supplier and thus in control of pricing and supply.
       It is therefore important to understand that the current
     shift in manufacturing capacity to China is not entirely the
     result of market forces. It is equally important to recognize
     that even if some residual U.S. manufacturing capacity
     remains after this large-scale migration takes place, the
     shift of the bulk of semiconductor manufacturing will
     severely constrain the ability of the U.S. to maintain high-
     end research and development capabilities. Such directed
     government support has proven itself to be a severe threat to
     U.S. industry. For a variety of reasons, the U.S. government
     has never been able to provide such coordinated support. The
     results of this deficit have been devastating. The idea that
     national governments cannot contribute to the health and
     direction of such a "consumer based" industry is unfounded,
     particularly given the national security implications.


                            A Plan of Action

       The stakes are real. The time for the country to react
     effectively is limited. There are things that can be done. If
     these steps are taken in a timely fashion, the collective
     impact of the measures will be more powerful in maintaining
     reliable first access to high-end semiconductor chip design
     and manufacturing in the U.S. These could include:
       Active Enforcement of GATT trade rules. Currently the
     Chinese government is providing a 14 percent rebate on VAT to
     customers who buy Chinese-made semiconductor chips,
     essentially providing a large

[[Page S7470]]

     subsidy of their domestic industry in clear violation of GATT
     rules. Thus, U.S.-made chips would pay a 17 percent VAT, and
     Chinese-made chips would pay a 3 percent VAT. Given the tight
     price competition of chips and the growing importance of the
     Chinese chip market, this is a very significant step towards
     ending U.S. production. It is important to ensure that GATT
     rules are properly enforced in this instance, and not allow
     government imposed advantages for foreign competitors to
     damage U.S. manufacturers. DoD should insist that the U.S.
     Trade Representative undertake prompt bilateral negotiations
     to remove these measures.
       Joint production agreements. With the current downturn in
     the high-tech sector, it is probable that many chip
     manufacturing companies will be unable to acquire the
     necessary capital to invest in the $3+ billion required for
     new 12-inch water advanced chip fabrication facilities, which
     are radically increasing in cost. Title 15 of the U.S. code
     (sections 4301 through 4305) gives private technology
     companies facing global competition the ability to enter into
     joint production ventures with a waiver of certain anti-trust
     laws. Under this provision, a group of companies could
     consolidate assets into a small number of chip fabrication
     plants, which could be jointly run by a cooperative of two to
     five companies. This cooperative investment in a fab could
     sharply reduce the risk and cost to each participating firm,
     and their agreements to purchase chips from the new fab could
     be the basis to obtain financing. The Department could
     encourage this kind of venture and offer contracting
     opportunities to meet DoD's own chip-making needs, thus being
     an additional guarantor of demand.
       Business models. A variety of creative business models
     exist which can help the Department and intelligence agencies
     obtain improved access to advanced manufacturing lines. The
     Department and intelligence agencies can enter into
     agreements with a number of U.S.-based chip manufacturers
     within the context of one of these models to the mutual
     benefit of all parties. DoD should contract with selected
     U.S. fabs for long-term access, using any one or more types
     of contractual vehicles (such as "take or pay"). DoD should
     also direct its aerospace end-users to employ the services of
     these domestic fabs. While DoD, NSA and NRO are only a very
     small piece of the semiconductor market, they can still use
     their residual contracting power to encourage retention of
     U.S. advanced chip manufacturing in a coordinated way. DoD
     and the intelligence agencies must pursue this avenue of
     creative government-industry cooperation, and must do so
     soon, as time is not on the side of the U.S. industrial base
     or the U.S. Government. It is important to note, however,
     that even a much stronger and better coordinated effort in
     this area alone will not resolve DoD's problems because over
     time without a strong domestic commercial semiconductor
     industrial base it will become very difficult for DoD to
     retain access to state of the art chips. DoD requires an
     industry with technology leadership, not just its own
     short term supply fix.
       Encourage tax incentives for U.S. investment. As the next
     generation of chip fabrication facilities can cost at least
     $3 billion per plant, the manufacturing sector will require
     assistance in acquiring the investment capital necessary to
     develop the manufacturing capabilities for cutting edge
     semiconductor chips. DoD and the intelligence agencies should
     work with industry and propose targeted tax incentives,
     possibly in coordination with state and local government
     financing, to assist in meeting these investment costs. As
     noted above, these efforts cannot be delayed into the out-
     years, as time is of the essence.
       Increase Science and Engineering Graduates. The
     unprecedented technical challenges faced by the industry will
     require technically trained talent to provide solutions to
     these problems. In order to effectively compete against the
     concerted effort by the Chinese to capture the semiconductor
     industry, it will be necessary to counter the growing
     disparity of trained talent in both physical sciences and
     engineering between East Asia and the U.S. Incentives need to
     be created for increasing university student training in
     these fields, in particular, of students who are U.S.
     citizens. The training over the past two decades of East
     Asian students in American universities, who increasingly
     return to their country of origin, is a partial cause of the
     present situation. Additionally, efforts need to be
     undertaken to encourage their retention in the U.S. Overall,
     DoD should focus on programs that increase the number of
     science and engineering graduates at the B.S. and M.S. level
     needed to provide the technical capabilities for the
     semiconductor industry.
       Increases in Federal Funds for Research and Development
     (R&D). Levels of federal funding in the U.S. for research on
     microelectronics have been steadily decreasing, while at the
     same time, competitors in Asia and Europe have dramatically
     expanded public support for semiconductor R&D. This decline
     in U.S. research support is of particular concern because the
     industry is increasingly addressing extremely complex
     technical challenges for which no solution is readily
     apparent. The following points highlight this need for
     restoration of funding and describe possible steps that could
     be taken:
       a. DARPA's annual funding of microelectronics research and
     development--the principle channel of direct federal
     financial support in this area--has declined since 1999, and
     is projected to decline further. DoD should consider
     restoring this funding.
       b. SEMATECH, the private industry partnership with
     government which was created to help revive the weakened U.S.
     industry in 1987 through collaborative research and pooled
     manufacturing knowledge, was provided with government funds
     of $100 million per year, fully matched by industry funds.
     Since 1996, SEMATECH has no longer received any government
     fundings. Originally an entirely U.S. endeavor, SEMATECH has
     now had to become "international" to remain in operation,
     thereby destroying its original U.S.-centric focus. DoD
     should consider alternative mechanisms for cooperative R&D
     efforts with industry in critical research areas.
       c. In the current harsh financial climate of the U.S. high-
     tech industry, the private sector will not be able to
     continue an adequate investment in research and development--
     there have in fact been widespread anecdotal report of major
     decreases in R&D efforts in the U.S. commercial electronics
     industry. The need is developing for processors based on the
     next generation of silicon chip technology (referred to as
     the "90 nanometer" generation), and the U.S. could find
     itself without a domestic manufacturing base, as the research
     for that technology generation should be under way now. The
     area of non-silicon semiconductors, which offer a level of
     speed performance exceeding that of silicon components, is
     clearly under-funded. For example, research is needed on
     nano-electronics, such as alternatives to silicon CMOS
     through nanotubes and nanowires. This technology will be
     important for next-generation military communications and
     radar systems (operating in consort with advanced silicon
     processor chips). Here too, the DoD must find ways to assist
     the U.S. non-silicon semiconductor manufacturing based by
     further encouraging R&D appropriate to DoD requirements.
       d. I urge the Department and intelligence agencies to
     support increased government funding for R&D of advanced chip
     technologies and also to support the development of new DoD-
     specfic chip designs within the aerospace industry, which,
     like the fabs, are losing their capabilities as the chip
     designs themselves are increasingly conducted overseas. DoD's
     decades-long role in the support of such research has
     diminished in recent years. Rejuvenation of this long-
     standing DoD role in advanced R&D would help to assure that
     U.S. industry, to the extent that it can be retained, will
     lead the future shifts to the most advanced chip technology
     which DoD will need.
       Cooperative Research Programs. Programs such as the Focus
     Research Center Program (FRCP) under the Microelectronics
     Advanced Research Corporation (MARCO) seek to overcome the
     growing challenges companies face in advancing
     microelectronics technologies through government-industry
     partnerships that focus on cutting-edge research deemed
     critical to the continued growth of the industry. The
     government's share of funding (25 percent) of this
     cooperative program has been supported through the
     Government-Industry Co-sponsoring of University Research
     (GICUR) program within the Office of Secretary of Defense.
     The funding targets for this program as outlined in the
     original ramp-up plan have not been met. In fact, this
     program has been zeroed out of the administration's FY 2004
     budget. DoD should ensure that funding levels for this vital
     area of government-industry collaborative research be
     properly supported, and that when U.S. universities are the
     recipients of such funding, the training of U.S. citizens (in
     contrast to foreign students) is strongly emphasized.
       Survey of Trade Practices. DoD should survey all possible
     technologies that the Chinese government may be targeting for
     subsidies that would assist in the transfer of U.S. chip-
     making and related fields to China, and then develop a list
     of those subsidies that are in violation of GATT trade rules
     and seek USTR action For those that are not in violation but
     nonetheless create a competitive "edge" for China, the
     Department and the intelligence agencies will need to develop
     counter strategies. The focus should aid to strengthen the
     entire electronics and IT "food chain"--from semiconductor
     manufacturing equipment to semiconductors to computers and
     systems. This will require broad interagency coordination and
     cooperation. It would probably be necessary to form such a
     "tiger team" immediately, and to provide that team with the
     authority and resources to act to stem the deterioration of
     our defense-critical on-shore infrastructure.
       The Semiconductor Equipment and Materials Industry. Over
     the last decade a fair fraction of U.S. semiconductor tooling
     and equipments capability has migrated off shore. This has
     been particularly true of the "high technology" end of the
     business--advanced lithography. The migration has had a
     significant impact on our ability to guide and direct
     development in the chip economy as a whole. For example, when
     ASML (a Dutch firm) tool over SVG-L (our last cutting edge
     lithography stepper supplier) the personnel base at the
     former SVG-L site, in part because of the recession, was
     reduced, and some advanced product development shifted to
     Europe. Along with the sale of SVG-L, Tinsley, an SVG-L
     subsidiary, which is the world's premier supplier of aspheric
     optical components widely used in defense surveillance
     systems, was also conveyed to ASML. Lithography patent
     battles that could affect sales and services to U.S. chip

[[Page S7471]]

     makers using equipment from either of these companies are
     continuing. As another example, it is generally accepted
     throughout the industry that the photomask is a key gating
     element in semiconductor development today, and that mask
     development is one of the largest challenges currently facing
     the industry. The cost of photomask infrastructure
     development is currently outstripping available R&D resources
     by a factor of 4 to 5. A recent SEMATECH study indicated the
     shortfall at approximately $750 million. Outside the U.S.,
     this shortfall is being met with Government sponsored
     development activities in hopes of taking over the market. A
     small number of U.S. merchant mask companies are currently
     spearheading an effort to establish a pre-competitive R&D
     activity focused on U.S. mask infrastructure development. The
     need, supported by SEMATECH, includes advanced tool
     evaluation and development, along with materials, metrology,
     and standards activities to improve future photomask
     manufacturing capability. The goal is to accelerate leading
     edge photomask infrastructure capability on-shore by building
     on prior and current mask industry investments. DoD should
     give full consideration to supporting this effort for a U.S.
     mask consortium. Overall, the "tiger team" should survey
     and make recommendations on what can be done to stimulate and
     grow what is left of the on-shore semiconductor equipment
     industry, including masks and lithography.


                   necessity of comprehensive action

       If DoD and the intelligence agencies lose commercial
     advanced chip production capability, off of which they have
     sharply leveraged over the past two decades to greatly reduce
     their costs and to improve war-fighting capability, the
     ability to benefit from such cost-saving relationships will
     be permanently lost. DoD can attempt to achieve temporary
     solutions, such as building its own next generation
     government-owned chip fabrication facility, but this is
     likely to be both expensive and ineffective. If the best
     research and design capability shifts to China along with
     manufacturing, this approach will not work past the next
     generation or two of semiconductor chip production. In
     addition, such temporary solutions are not only unworkable
     over time if the U.S. wishes to retain the best capability
     that is required for defense and intelligence needs, but will
     be far more expensive than the solutions proposed above. This
     is because the opportunity to leverage off the commercial
     sector (an approach which the DoD and intelligence community
     rely upon at present) for new advances and cost savings will
     be lost. The U.S. policy goal should not be to seek to
     prevent China from obtaining significant chip-making
     capability in the very near future. That will happen. The
     issue is whether the U.S. can improve its competitive
     position and remove unfair distortions in order to retain
     significant on-shore manufacturing capacity.


                     conclusions and further action

       A prompt, concerted effort by the defense and intelligence
     community can reverse this trend of off-shore migration of
     manufacturing, research and design that is now underway and
     that will become essentially irreversible if no action is
     taken in the next few months. I am requesting a report and
     plan of action from DoD and the intelligence community, based
     on the steps enumerated above, on how they will act to
     prevent the national security damage that the loss of the
     U.S. semiconductor industry will entail.
       The loss goes beyond economics and security. What is at
     stake here is our ability to be preeminent in the world of
     ideas on which the semiconductor industry is based. Much of
     applied physical science--optics, materials, science,
     computer science, to name a few--will be practiced at foreign
     centers of excellence. This stunning loss of intellectual
     capability will impede our efforts in all areas of our
     society.
       I hope that by bringing attention to this matter, we can
     avoid a potential national security crisis in terms of
     reliable access to cutting edge technology necessary to the
     critical defense needs of our country. We are being
     confronted by one of the greatest transfers of critical
     defense technologies ever organized by another government and
     the time for action is overdue.

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